VALE

Vale S.A.

Basic Materials · $57.0B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$13.76

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$19.66

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$7.86

buy price

Undervalued

VALE is Undervalued: at $13.76 it trades 30% below its fair value of $19.66. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $7.86, 43% below today's price. Business quality is limited: only 1 of 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Owner Earnings. Earnings have been shrinking, but the business still generates cash, so we value it on its cash flow instead of its earnings.

Business quality

1 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth-0.7% a year✗
Equity per share growth-1.2% a year✗
Sales growth1.1% a year✗
Free cash flow growth3.3% a year✗
Return on invested capital11.3%✓

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Superinvestors

1 of the investors we track holds VALE. In Q2 2026, 1 trimmed. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

Trimmed: Richard Pzena

Insider activity

Since Jun 16, 2026: 7 open-market purchases worth $12K and 3 sales worth $4K. Why purchases matter

Purchases

Sales

About Vale S.A.

Operating globally and within Brazil, Vale S.A. is a major producer and seller of essential raw materials, including iron ore, iron ore pellets, nickel, and copper. Its operations are organized into two primary segments. The Iron Solutions segment is dedicated to the extraction and production of iron ore, pellets, and various other ferrous products, also providing crucial logistics services. Meanwhile, the Energy…

Industrial Materials

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works