BIRK

Birkenstock Holding plc

Consumer Cyclical · $6.2B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$33.33

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$25.72

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$10.29

buy price

Overpriced

BIRK is Overpriced: at $33.33 it trades 30% above its fair value of $25.72. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $10.29, 69% below today's price. Business quality is solid: 3 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Buffett Normalized. A profitable, growing business, so we project its earnings 10 years ahead and work out what that is worth today.

Business quality

3 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth82.3% a year✓
Equity per share growth4.3% a year✗
Sales growth23.3% a year✓
Free cash flow growth15.9% a year✓
Return on invested capital6.0%✗

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Superinvestors

1 of the investors we track holds BIRK. In Q2 2026, 1 opened a position and 1 sold out. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

New position: Bill Nygren

Sold out: Francois Rochon

Insider activity

Since Aug 17, 2026: no open-market purchases and 1 sale worth $1.1B. Why purchases matter

Sales

About Birkenstock Holding plc

Birkenstock Holding plc specializes in the creation and distribution of various foot-related products. While renowned for its extensive collection of footwear, which includes sandals, shoes, and closed-toe designs, the company also expands its offerings to encompass skincare items and accessories. These products are made available to customers through a diverse range of channels, including its own online retail…

Apparel - Footwear & Accessories

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works