CENX

Century Aluminum Company

Basic Materials · $3.8B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$35.62

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$8.07

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$3.23

buy price

Overpriced

CENX is Overpriced: at $35.62 it trades 341% above its fair value of $8.07. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $3.23, 91% below today's price. Business quality is limited: only 1 of 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Earnings Power. Our 10-year earnings projection came out at less than a fifth of the share price, too far from reality to publish. So we use a simpler measure: today's normal earnings at the price-to-earnings ratio it has typically traded at.

Business quality

1 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth10.2% a year✓
Equity per share growth-5.7% a year✗
Sales growth3.8% a year✗
Free cash flow growth-4.9% a year✗
Return on invested capital6.2%✗

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Superinvestors

1 of the investors we track holds CENX. In Q2 2026, 1 added. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

Added: First Eagle Investment Management

About Century Aluminum Company

Century Aluminum Company, along with its associated entities, manufactures both standard and specialized primary aluminum products across the United States and Iceland. The firm also possesses and manages a facility dedicated to carbon anode production, situated in the Netherlands. Founded in 1981, the company's corporate headquarters are located in Chicago, Illinois.

Aluminum

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works