CF
CF Industries Holdings, Inc.Basic Materials · $17.8B market cap
Verdict
Share price
$115.01
close of Oct 3, 2026
Fair value
$52.55
Sticker Price
Payback Price
$21.02
buy price
CF is Overpriced: at $115.01 it trades 119% above its fair value of $52.55. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $21.02, 82% below today's price. Business quality is limited: only 1 of 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.
How we valued it
Free Cash Flow Growth. Free cash flow is growing faster than reported earnings, so we project free cash flow 10 years ahead instead.
Business quality
1 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?
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None of the investors we track holds CF right now. In Q1 2026, 1 sold out. Who we track
Moves in Q1 2026
Sold out: Bruce Berkowitz
About CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a global producer and distributor of hydrogen and nitrogen-based products. These essential chemicals serve a variety of purposes worldwide, including energy generation, agricultural fertilization, environmental emissions reduction, and numerous other industrial applications. The company's core product lineup features vital nitrogen compounds such as anhydrous ammonia, granular urea…
Agricultural Inputs
Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works