MOS

The Mosaic Company

Basic Materials · $6.9B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$21.07

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$21.57

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$8.63

buy price

Fairly Valued

MOS is Fairly Valued: at $21.07 it's within 2% of its fair value of $21.57. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $8.63, 59% below today's price. Business quality is limited: none of the 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Buffett Normalized. A profitable, growing business, so we project its earnings 10 years ahead and work out what that is worth today.

Business quality

0 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth-4.3% a year✗
Equity per share growth3.7% a year✗
Sales growth2.4% a year✗
Free cash flow growth-1.1% a year✗
Return on invested capital3.3%✗

Follow MOS

Get notified when it reaches its buy price of $8.63. Free.

Create a free account

Superinvestors

2 of the investors we track hold MOS. In Q2 2026, 2 trimmed and 1 sold out. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

Trimmed: Mairs & Power Funds, John Rogers

Sold out: Lee Ainslie

Insider activity

Since Aug 19, 2026: no open-market purchases and 1 sale worth $509K. Why purchases matter

Sales

About The Mosaic Company

Operating on a global scale via its various subsidiaries, The Mosaic Company specializes in the creation and distribution of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. Its business is structured into three distinct segments: Phosphates, Potash, and Mosaic Fertilizantes. The company maintains and operates its own mining facilities to extract raw materials, which are then processed into a diverse array of…

Agricultural Inputs

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works