CME
CME Group Inc.Financial Services · $94.4B market cap
Verdict
Share price
$263.14
close of Oct 3, 2026
Fair value
$260.14
Sticker Price
Payback Price
$104.05
buy price
CME is Fairly Valued: at $263.14 it's within 1% of its fair value of $260.14. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $104.05, 60% below today's price. Business quality is mixed: 2 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.
How we valued it
Free Cash Flow. Sales grew 9% a year over the last 3 years, below the 15% we look for in a fast grower, so we value it on its free cash flow instead of an earnings forecast.
Business quality
2 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?
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6 of the investors we track hold CME. In Q2 2026, 3 opened a position, 1 trimmed and 1 sold out. Who we track
Seth Klarman
Baupost Group LLC · as of Q2 2026
$136.7M
619,000 shares
Mairs & Power Funds
Mairs & Power Funds · as of Q2 2026
$43.2M
195,585 shares
Viking Global Investors
Viking Global Investors · as of Q2 2026
$33.8M
152,980 shares
William Von Mueffling
Cantillon Capital Management · as of Q2 2026
$14.1M
63,835 shares
Thomas Gayner
Markel Group · as of Q2 2026
$11.0M
49,750 shares
Show all 6 holdersShow fewer
Lindsell Train
Lindsell Train · as of Q2 2026
$1.5M
6,900 shares
Moves in Q2 2026
New position: Viking Global Investors, Seth Klarman, Mairs & Power Funds
Trimmed: William Von Mueffling
Sold out: John Armitage
Insider activity
Since May 1, 2026: 2 open-market purchases worth $78K, 2 sales worth $4.1M and 24 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter
Purchases
Sales
DUFFY TERRENCE A
Chairman and CEO · 2026-09-10
Sold
$173K
DUFFY TERRENCE A
Chairman and CEO · 2026-09-10
Sold
$3.9M
Other filings
Benesh Kathryn
director · 2026-06-25
Award
$145K
Bitsberger Timothy S.
director · 2026-06-25
Award
$145K
Carey Charles P
director · 2026-06-25
Award
$145K
Carey Charles P
director · 2026-06-25
Award
$95K
Cook Elizabeth A
director · 2026-06-25
Award
$145K
Show all 24 other filingsShow fewer
Durkin Bryan T
director · 2026-06-25
Award
$145K
Ford Harold Eugene Jr.
director · 2026-06-25
Award
$145K
Ford Harold Eugene Jr.
director · 2026-06-25
Award
$95K
Hobert William W
director · 2026-06-25
Award
$145K
Hobert William W
director · 2026-06-25
Award
$95K
Kaye Daniel G
director · 2026-06-25
Award
$145K
Lockett Phyllis M
director · 2026-06-25
Award
$145K
Lucas Deborah J
director · 2026-06-25
Award
$145K
Maloney Patrick W
director · 2026-06-25
Award
$145K
Mulchrone Patrick J
director · 2026-06-25
Award
$145K
SIEGEL HOWARD J
director · 2026-06-25
Award
$145K
SIEGEL HOWARD J
director · 2026-06-25
Award
$95K
Suskind Dennis
director · 2026-06-25
Award
$145K
Seifu Rahael
director · 2026-06-25
Award
$145K
SHEPARD WILLIAM R
director · 2026-06-25
Award
$145K
SHEPARD WILLIAM R
director · 2026-06-25
Award
$95K
GEPSMAN MARTIN J
director · 2026-06-25
Award
$145K
Tierney Robert J JR
director · 2026-06-25
Award
$145K
Hobert William W
director · 2026-05-01
J-Other
20,320 shares
About CME Group Inc.
CME Group Inc., through its various subsidiaries, manages international marketplaces for the exchange of futures and options on futures contracts worldwide. Its extensive array of product offerings includes futures and options linked to a broad spectrum of underlying assets, such as interest rates, equity indices, foreign exchange, agricultural commodities, energy, and metals, alongside fixed-income products. The…
Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges
Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works