CNQ

Canadian Natural Resources Limited

Energy · $98.7B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$48.44

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$28.95

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$11.58

buy price

Overpriced

CNQ is Overpriced: at $48.44 it trades 67% above its fair value of $28.95. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $11.58, 76% below today's price. Business quality is mixed: 2 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Free Cash Flow. Sales grew -4% a year over the last 3 years, below the 15% we look for in a fast grower, so we value it on its free cash flow instead of an earnings forecast.

Business quality

2 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth8.1% a year✗
Equity per share growth5.2% a year✗
Sales growth7.0% a year✗
Free cash flow growth14.3% a year✓
Return on invested capital12.1%✓

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Superinvestors

3 of the investors we track hold CNQ. In Q2 2026, 1 opened a position and 1 sold out. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

New position: Sarah Ketterer

Sold out: John Armitage

About Canadian Natural Resources Limited

Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ) is an integrated energy enterprise engaged across the full spectrum of upstream and downstream activities related to crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs), encompassing acquisition, exploration, development, production, marketing, and sales. Its diverse portfolio of hydrocarbon products encompasses synthetic crude oil (SCO), light and medium crude, bitumen…

Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works