CSX

CSX Corporation

Industrials · $86.6B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$47.43

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$21.81

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$8.72

buy price

Overpriced

CSX is Overpriced: at $47.43 it trades 117% above its fair value of $21.81. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $8.72, 82% below today's price. Business quality is limited: only 1 of 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Buffett Normalized. A profitable, growing business, so we project its earnings 10 years ahead and work out what that is worth today.

Business quality

1 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth6.4% a year✗
Equity per share growth6.8% a year✗
Sales growth1.9% a year✗
Free cash flow growth10.0% a year✓
Return on invested capital9.7%✗

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Superinvestors

3 of the investors we track hold CSX. In Q2 2026, 1 added, 1 trimmed and 1 sold out. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

Added: Thomas Gayner

Trimmed: Harry Burn

Sold out: Viking Global Investors

Insider activity

Since Jun 15, 2026: no open-market purchases, 2 sales worth $2.3M and 5 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Sales

Other filings

About CSX Corporation

CSX Corporation, operating through its subsidiaries, stands as a leading provider of rail-based cargo transportation services. The company offers a wide range of services, including general rail freight, the movement of intermodal containers and trailers, and specialized transport solutions such as efficient rail-to-truck transfers and the handling of bulk commodities. CSX facilitates the shipment of a diverse array…

Railroads

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works