UNP

Union Pacific Corporation

Industrials · $162.2B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$278.28

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$120.70

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$48.28

buy price

Overpriced

UNP is Overpriced: at $278.28 it trades 131% above its fair value of $120.70. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $48.28, 83% below today's price. Business quality is limited: only 1 of 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Free Cash Flow. Sales grew -0% a year over the last 3 years, below the 15% we look for in a fast grower, so we value it on its free cash flow instead of an earnings forecast.

Business quality

1 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth7.5% a year✗
Equity per share growth3.5% a year✗
Sales growth2.2% a year✗
Free cash flow growth7.8% a year✗
Return on invested capital11.4%✓

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Superinvestors

11 of the investors we track hold UNP. In Q2 2026, 1 opened a position, 1 added and 2 trimmed. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

New position: Viking Global Investors

Added: Daniel Loeb

Trimmed: Seth Klarman, Mairs & Power Funds

Insider activity

Since Jul 1, 2026: no open-market purchases and 27 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Other filings

Hamann Jennifer L

EVP & CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER · 2026-09-10

Award

$2K

Jalali Rahul

EVP & CHIEF INFORMATION OFFICE · 2026-09-10

Award

$1K

Rocker Kenyatta G

EVP MARKETING & SALES · 2026-09-10

Award

$744

Conlin Christina B

EVP CHIEF LEGAL OFFICER & CORP · 2026-09-10

Award

$635

Powers Carrie J

VP & CONTROLLER · 2026-09-10

Award

$2K

Show all 27 other filings

Rocker Kenyatta G

EVP MARKETING & SALES · 2026-09-04

G-Gift

431 shares

Jalali Rahul

EVP & CHIEF INFORMATION OFFICE · 2026-08-10

Award

$2K

Hamann Jennifer L

EVP & CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER · 2026-08-10

Award

$2K

Powers Carrie J

VP & CONTROLLER · 2026-08-10

Award

$2K

Rocker Kenyatta G

EVP MARKETING & SALES · 2026-08-10

Award

$744

Conlin Christina B

EVP CHIEF LEGAL OFFICER & CORP · 2026-08-10

Award

$635

Conlin Christina B

EVP CHIEF LEGAL OFFICER & CORP · 2026-07-10

Award

$635

Hamann Jennifer L

EVP & CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER · 2026-07-10

Award

$2K

Jalali Rahul

EVP & CHIEF INFORMATION OFFICE · 2026-07-10

Award

$2K

Powers Carrie J

VP & CONTROLLER · 2026-07-10

Award

$2K

Rocker Kenyatta G

EVP MARKETING & SALES · 2026-07-10

Award

$744

Rocker Kenyatta G

EVP MARKETING & SALES · 2026-07-10

Award

$1K

Edison Sheri H.

director · 2026-07-01

Award

175 shares

Finley Teresa

director · 2026-07-01

Award

174 shares

Lute Jane H

director · 2026-07-01

Award

362 shares

MCCARTHY MICHAEL R

director · 2026-07-01

Award

808 shares

Simons Doyle

director · 2026-07-01

Award

305 shares

Tien John K Jr

director · 2026-07-01

Award

166 shares

WIEHOFF JOHN

director · 2026-07-01

Award

167 shares

Will W Anthony

director · 2026-07-01

Award

159 shares

WILLIAMS CHRISTOPHER J

director · 2026-07-01

Award

189 shares

HOPKINS DEBORAH C

director · 2026-07-01

Award

221 shares

About Union Pacific Corporation

Union Pacific Corporation, a prominent American railway enterprise, conducts its primary operations through its subsidiary, Union Pacific Railroad Company. The company provides extensive freight transportation services for a wide array of commodities. Its diverse cargo includes agricultural products like grain, fertilizers, and refrigerated foods; energy resources such as coal, renewables, petroleum, and liquid…

Railroads

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works