DDL

Dingdong (Cayman) Limited

Consumer Defensive · $470M market cap

Verdict

Share price

$2.15

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$4.87

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$1.95

buy price

Undervalued

DDL is Undervalued: at $2.15 it trades 56% below its fair value of $4.87. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $1.95, 9% below today's price. Business quality is mixed: 2 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Free Cash Flow. Sales grew 0% a year over the last 3 years, below the 15% we look for in a fast grower, so we value it on its free cash flow instead of an earnings forecast.

Business quality

2 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth-27.2% a year✗
Equity per share growth30.4% a year✓
Sales growth19.4% a year✓
Free cash flow growth-58.1% a year✗
Return on invested capital1.9%✗

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About Dingdong (Cayman) Limited

Dingdong (Cayman) Limited is a Chinese online retail enterprise that provides a comprehensive selection of food products. Its offerings span fresh produce, meats, seafood, and prepared meals, alongside a diverse assortment of groceries including dairy, baked goods, snacks, oils, seasonings, and beverages. The company manages its operations primarily through its self-operated digital platform, Dingdong Fresh. Founded…

Grocery Stores

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works