GO

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.

Consumer Defensive · $1.1B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$11.62

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$5.40

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$2.16

buy price

Overpriced

GO is Overpriced: at $11.62 it trades 115% above its fair value of $5.40. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $2.16, 81% below today's price. Business quality is mixed: 2 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Free Cash Flow Growth. Reported earnings are shrinking, but free cash flow keeps growing, so we value it on cash flow.

Business quality

2 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth-16.8% a year✗
Equity per share growth4.8% a year✗
Sales growth11.2% a year✓
Free cash flow growth30.3% a year✓
Return on invested capital-0.5%✗

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Superinvestors

1 of the investors we track holds GO. In Q2 2026, 1 opened a position. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

New position: First Eagle Investment Management

Insider activity

Since Jun 15, 2026: 4 open-market purchases worth $404K, 1 sale worth $16K and 7 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Purchases

Sales

Other filings

About Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. operates a network of retail stores across the United States, offering name-brand consumables and fresh products through independently operated locations. The company was founded by Jim Read in 1946 and is headquartered in Emeryville, California.

Grocery Stores

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works

GO stock (Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.): fair value $5.40, Overpriced — PaybackPrice