DOW

Dow Inc.

Basic Materials · $19.9B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$27.97

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$33.33

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$13.33

buy price

Undervalued

DOW is Undervalued: at $27.97 it trades 16% below its fair value of $33.33. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $13.33, 52% below today's price. Business quality is limited: none of the 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Buffett Normalized. A profitable, growing business, so we project its earnings 10 years ahead and work out what that is worth today.

Business quality

0 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth-24.7% a year✗
Equity per share growth0.3% a year✗
Sales growth-0.3% a year✗
Free cash flow growth5.1% a year✗
Return on invested capital3.0%✗

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Superinvestors

4 of the investors we track hold DOW. In Q2 2026, 1 opened a position and 1 trimmed. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

New position: First Eagle Investment Management

Trimmed: Richard Pzena

Insider activity

Since Jul 1, 2026: no open-market purchases and 2 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Other filings

About Dow Inc.

Dow Inc. is a global leader in materials science, delivering diverse solutions for key industries such as packaging, infrastructure development, mobility, and consumer products. The company's reach extends across numerous regions, including the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, India, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Its operations are structured into three main divisions: Packaging &…

Chemicals

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works