GXO

GXO Logistics, Inc.

Industrials · $5.1B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$46.56

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$19.80

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$7.92

buy price

Overpriced

GXO is Overpriced: at $46.56 it trades 135% above its fair value of $19.80. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $7.92, 83% below today's price. Business quality is mixed: 2 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Free Cash Flow Growth. Reported earnings are shrinking, but free cash flow keeps growing, so we value it on cash flow.

Business quality

2 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth-43.3% a year✗
Equity per share growth3.6% a year✗
Sales growth13.5% a year✓
Free cash flow growth14.4% a year✓
Return on invested capital2.5%✗

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Superinvestors

1 of the investors we track holds GXO. In Q2 2026, 1 added and 1 sold out. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

Added: Glenn Welling

Sold out: First Eagle Investment Management

Insider activity

Since Jul 1, 2026: no open-market purchases and 5 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Other filings

About GXO Logistics, Inc.

GXO Logistics, Inc., together with its associated entities, delivers a full range of logistics solutions globally. The company's services include warehousing, distribution, order fulfillment, specialized e-commerce support, and various other supply chain management functions, alongside critical reverse logistics and returns processing. As of December 31, 2021, GXO operated across approximately 906 facilities…

Integrated Freight & Logistics

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works

GXO stock (GXO Logistics, Inc.): fair value $19.80, Overpriced — PaybackPrice