HTHT

H World Group Limited

Consumer Cyclical · $12.9B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$41.78

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$45.74

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$18.30

buy price

Fairly Valued

HTHT is Fairly Valued: at $41.78 it's within 9% of its fair value of $45.74. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $18.30, 56% below today's price. Business quality is strong: 4 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Buffett Normalized. A profitable, growing business, so we project its earnings 10 years ahead and work out what that is worth today.

Business quality

4 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth24.0% a year✓
Equity per share growth11.9% a year✓
Sales growth17.7% a year✓
Free cash flow growth20.8% a year✓
Return on invested capital7.1%✗

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Superinvestors

3 of the investors we track hold HTHT. In Q2 2026, 1 opened a position and 1 trimmed. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

New position: Sarah Ketterer

Trimmed: Mason Hawkins

Insider activity

Since Jun 28, 2026: no open-market purchases and 9 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Other filings

About H World Group Limited

H World Group Limited, through its various subsidiaries, is actively engaged in the development and management of hotels primarily within the People's Republic of China. Its extensive operations cover a range of models, including leased, owned, manachised, and franchised properties. The company boasts a diverse collection of self-owned hotel brands, among them HanTing Hotel, Ni Hao Hotel, Hi Inn, Elan Hotel, Zleep…

Travel Lodging

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works