LI

Li Auto Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · $11.3B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$10.69

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$4.43

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$1.77

buy price

Overpriced

LI is Overpriced: at $10.69 it trades 142% above its fair value of $4.43. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $1.77, 83% below today's price. Business quality is solid: 3 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Buffett Normalized. A profitable, growing business, so we project its earnings 10 years ahead and work out what that is worth today.

Business quality

3 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth-69.0% a year✗
Equity per share growth16.2% a year✓
Sales growth75.7% a year✓
Free cash flow growth60.6% a year✓
Return on invested capital4.7%✗

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About Li Auto Inc.

Li Auto Inc. is a prominent player in the rapidly expanding new energy vehicle market within the People's Republic of China. The company's operations span the entire lifecycle of high-end intelligent electric vehicles, from their initial design and development to manufacturing and eventual sale. Its diverse product portfolio primarily consists of multi-purpose vehicles (MPVs) and sport utility vehicles (SUVs). The…

Auto - Manufacturers

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works