MAT

Mattel, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · $4.0B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$15.27

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$23.71

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$9.49

buy price

Undervalued

MAT is Undervalued: at $15.27 it trades 36% below its fair value of $23.71. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $9.49, 38% below today's price. Business quality is limited: none of the 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Owner Earnings. Earnings have been shrinking, but the business still generates cash, so we value it on its cash flow instead of its earnings.

Business quality

0 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth-2.4% a year✗
Equity per share growth-1.2% a year✗
Sales growth-0.6% a year✗
Free cash flow growth-2.1% a year✗
Return on invested capital8.5%✗

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Superinvestors

2 of the investors we track hold MAT. In Q2 2026, 1 added. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

Added: John Rogers

Insider activity

Since Jul 31, 2026: no open-market purchases, 1 sale worth $587K and 2 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Sales

Other filings

About Mattel, Inc.

Mattel, Inc. functions as a worldwide children's entertainment corporation, primarily engaged in the design and production of a diverse range of toys and consumer goods. The company's operations are segmented into North America, International, and the American Girl brand. Its extensive product offerings include dolls and accessories, alongside related content, gaming, and lifestyle merchandise for children, marketed…

Leisure

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works