MNSO

MINISO Group Holding Limited

Consumer Cyclical · $2.8B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$8.83

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$28.54

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$11.41

buy price

On Sale

MNSO is On Sale: at $8.83 it trades 23% below its buy price (Payback Price) of $11.41 and 69% below its fair value of $28.54. Business quality is strong: 4 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Buffett Normalized. A profitable, growing business, so we project its earnings 10 years ahead and work out what that is worth today.

Business quality

4 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth19.2% a year✓
Equity per share growth9.5% a year✗
Sales growth13.7% a year✓
Free cash flow growth12.7% a year✓
Return on invested capital16.3%✓

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Insider activity

Since Sep 29, 2026: 1 open-market purchase worth $340K. Why purchases matter

Purchases

About MINISO Group Holding Limited

MINISO Group Holding Limited functions as an investment holding firm primarily engaged in the global retail and wholesale distribution of a broad spectrum of lifestyle products. The company's operations extend across China, various parts of Asia, the Americas, and Europe. It offers an extensive catalog of goods, including household decor, compact electronics, textiles, fashion accessories, beauty instruments…

Specialty Retail

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works