MTN

Vail Resorts, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · $4.9B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$141.16

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$74.30

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$29.72

buy price

Overpriced

MTN is Overpriced: at $141.16 it trades 90% above its fair value of $74.30. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $29.72, 79% below today's price. Business quality is mixed: 2 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Free Cash Flow. Sales grew -1% a year over the last 3 years, below the 15% we look for in a fast grower, so we value it on its free cash flow instead of an earnings forecast.

Business quality

2 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth11.5% a year✓
Equity per share growth1.9% a year✗
Sales growth7.2% a year✗
Free cash flow growth10.9% a year✓
Return on invested capital8.0%✗

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Superinvestors

4 of the investors we track hold MTN. In Q2 2026, 1 added. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

Added: First Pacific Advisors

Insider activity

Since Aug 3, 2026: no open-market purchases and 1 other filing (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Other filings

About Vail Resorts, Inc.

Vail Resorts, Inc., operating through its various subsidiary entities, oversees a portfolio of mountain resorts and urban ski areas located across the United States. The company's business activities are structured into three distinct segments: Mountain, Lodging, and Real Estate. The Mountain division is responsible for managing 37 prominent mountain destinations and regional ski facilities. This segment also…

Gambling, Resorts & Casinos

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works