VAC

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation

Consumer Cyclical · $3.5B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$104.20

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$65.90

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$26.36

buy price

Overpriced

VAC is Overpriced: at $104.20 it trades 58% above its fair value of $65.90. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $26.36, 75% below today's price. Business quality is limited: none of the 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Buffett Normalized. A profitable, growing business, so we project its earnings 10 years ahead and work out what that is worth today.

Business quality

0 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth9.0% a year✗
Equity per share growth6.4% a year✗
Sales growth8.1% a year✗
Free cash flow growth-0.7% a year✗
Return on invested capital4.9%✗

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Superinvestors

2 of the investors we track hold VAC. In Q2 2026, 1 opened a position. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

New position: Clifford Sosin

Insider activity

Since Jun 16, 2026: no open-market purchases, 2 sales worth $83.9M and 4 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Sales

Other filings

About Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation is a prominent global leisure company specializing in the development, marketing, sale, and management of vacation ownership products and associated offerings. Its business operations are structured around two core divisions: Vacation Ownership, and Exchange & Third-Party Management. The corporation oversees numerous vacation ownership brands, including Marriott Vacation…

Gambling, Resorts & Casinos

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works