OLLI

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.

Consumer Defensive · $5.2B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$88.06

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$78.70

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$31.48

buy price

Overpriced

OLLI is Overpriced: at $88.06 it trades 12% above its fair value of $78.70. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $31.48, 64% below today's price. Business quality is solid: 3 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Free Cash Flow. Sales grew 13% a year over the last 3 years, below the 15% we look for in a fast grower, so we value it on its free cash flow instead of an earnings forecast.

Business quality

3 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth8.5% a year✗
Equity per share growth11.4% a year✓
Sales growth13.9% a year✓
Free cash flow growth19.7% a year✓
Return on invested capital8.5%✗

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Superinvestors

None of the investors we track holds OLLI right now. In Q2 2026, 1 sold out. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

Sold out: Lee Ainslie

Insider activity

Since Jul 29, 2026: no open-market purchases and 2 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Other filings

About Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. operates as a leading discount retailer, offering a wide variety of brand-name goods. The company's diverse inventory includes home essentials such as housewares, bed and bath products, and floor coverings, as well as food items, health and beauty aids, books, stationery, toys, and electronics. Additionally, they stock hardware, confectionery, apparel, sporting goods, pet…

Discount Stores

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works