PDD

PDD Holdings Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · $110.4B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$75.38

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$203.12

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$81.25

buy price

On Sale

PDD is On Sale: at $75.38 it trades 7% below its buy price (Payback Price) of $81.25 and 63% below its fair value of $203.12. Business quality is strong: all 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Buffett Normalized. A profitable, growing business, so we project its earnings 10 years ahead and work out what that is worth today.

Business quality

5 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth67.6% a year✓
Equity per share growth47.2% a year✓
Sales growth57.9% a year✓
Free cash flow growth42.7% a year✓
Return on invested capital23.8%✓

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Superinvestors

4 of the investors we track hold PDD. In Q2 2026, 2 added and 3 sold out. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

Added: Li Lu, Duan Yongping

Sold out: David Tepper, Sarah Ketterer, Howard Marks

Insider activity

Since Jul 1, 2026: no open-market purchases, 1 sale worth $140K and 10 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Sales

Other filings

About PDD Holdings Inc.

PDD Holdings, Inc. is a multinational commerce group that owns and operates a portfolio of businesses. The company aims to bring more businesses and people into the digital economy so that local communities and small businesses can benefit from increased productivity and new opportunities. It has built a network of sourcing, logistics, and fulfillment capabilities, that support its underlying businesses. PDD…

Specialty Retail

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works