SBUX
Starbucks CorporationConsumer Cyclical · $108.6B market cap
Verdict
Share price
$94.71
close of Oct 3, 2026
Fair value
$39.55
Sticker Price
Payback Price
$15.82
buy price
SBUX is Overpriced: at $94.71 it trades 139% above its fair value of $39.55. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $15.82, 83% below today's price. Business quality is solid: 3 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.
How we valued it
Free Cash Flow. Sales grew 5% a year over the last 3 years, below the 15% we look for in a fast grower, so we value it on its free cash flow instead of an earnings forecast.
Business quality
3 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?
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5 of the investors we track hold SBUX. In Q2 2026, 2 trimmed and 1 sold out. Who we track
Polen Capital Management
Polen Capital Management · as of Q2 2026
$362.9M
3,550,773 shares
Thomas Gayner
Markel Group · as of Q2 2026
$63.7M
623,818 shares
David Katz
Matrix Asset Advisors · as of Q2 2026
$22.5M
220,391 shares
Christopher Bloomstran
Semper Augustus · as of Q2 2026
$4.7M
45,761 shares
First Eagle Investment Management
First Eagle Investment Management · as of Q2 2026
$1.7M
17,002 shares
Insider activity
Since Jun 11, 2026: no open-market purchases, 4 sales worth $762K and 2 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter
Sales
BREWER BRADY
ceo, International · 2026-09-04
Sold
$235K
BREWER BRADY
ceo, International · 2026-08-05
Sold
$236K
BREWER BRADY
ceo, International · 2026-07-06
Sold
$232K
BREWER BRADY
ceo, International · 2026-06-11
Sold
$59K
Other filings
About Starbucks Corporation
Starbucks Corporation, along with its various subsidiaries, operates worldwide as a key player in roasting, marketing, and selling specialty coffee. Its business is structured into three main operating divisions: North America, International markets, and Channel Development. The company's retail outlets offer a broad assortment of coffee and tea beverages, roasted whole bean and ground coffees, single-serve options…
Restaurants
Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works