PHM

PulteGroup, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · $23.1B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$115.73

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$83.52

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$33.41

buy price

Overpriced

PHM is Overpriced: at $115.73 it trades 39% above its fair value of $83.52. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $33.41, 71% below today's price. Business quality is solid: 3 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Free Cash Flow. Sales grew 3% a year over the last 3 years, below the 15% we look for in a fast grower, so we value it on its free cash flow instead of an earnings forecast.

Business quality

3 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth20.0% a year✓
Equity per share growth11.4% a year✓
Sales growth9.5% a year✗
Free cash flow growth3.8% a year✗
Return on invested capital17.6%✓

Follow PHM

Get notified when it reaches its buy price of $33.41. Free.

Create a free account

Superinvestors

3 of the investors we track hold PHM. In Q2 2026, 1 added. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

Added: First Eagle Investment Management

Insider activity

Since Jun 22, 2026: no open-market purchases and 2 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Other filings

About PulteGroup, Inc.

PulteGroup, Inc. engages in the homebuilding business. The firm is also involved in mortgage banking and title and insurance brokerage operations. It operates through the Homebuilding and Financial services business segments. The Homebuilding segment includes operations from Connecticut, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee…

Residential Construction

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works