SHAK

Shake Shack Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · $2.4B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$60.98

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$31.38

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$12.55

buy price

Overpriced

SHAK is Overpriced: at $60.98 it trades 94% above its fair value of $31.38. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $12.55, 79% below today's price. Business quality is mixed: 2 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Buffett Normalized. A profitable, growing business, so we project its earnings 10 years ahead and work out what that is worth today.

Business quality

2 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth10.0% a year✗
Equity per share growth4.4% a year✗
Sales growth22.4% a year✓
Free cash flow growth20.5% a year✓
Return on invested capital1.3%✗

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Superinvestors

1 of the investors we track holds SHAK. In Q2 2026, 1 opened a position and 1 sold out. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

New position: Howard Marks

Sold out: Polen Capital Management

Insider activity

Since Jun 15, 2026: no open-market purchases and 3 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Other filings

About Shake Shack Inc.

Shake Shack Inc. manages a global network of Shake Shack restaurants, known as Shacks, through a combination of direct ownership, operation, and licensing agreements in the United States and abroad. These eateries are renowned for their menu, which features classic American fare such as hamburgers, hot dogs, chicken sandwiches, signature crinkle-cut fries, milkshakes, frozen custard, and various beverages including…

Restaurants

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works