SMPL

The Simply Good Foods Company

Consumer Defensive · $858M market cap

Verdict

Share price

$9.83

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$31.22

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$12.49

buy price

On Sale

SMPL is On Sale: at $9.83 it trades 21% below its buy price (Payback Price) of $12.49 and 69% below its fair value of $31.22. Business quality is solid: 3 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Free Cash Flow. Sales grew 7% a year over the last 3 years, below the 15% we look for in a fast grower, so we value it on its free cash flow instead of an earnings forecast.

Business quality

3 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth25.1% a year✓
Equity per share growth9.6% a year✗
Sales growth15.0% a year✓
Free cash flow growth23.4% a year✓
Return on invested capital7.3%✗

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Superinvestors

1 of the investors we track holds SMPL. In Q1 2026, 1 opened a position. Who we track

Moves in Q1 2026

New position: Howard Marks

Insider activity

Since Jul 22, 2026: no open-market purchases and 2 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Other filings

About The Simply Good Foods Company

The Simply Good Foods Company operates as a global purveyor of consumer packaged food and beverage items, with a significant presence across North America and in international markets. Its core business revolves around the creation, promotion, and sale of a diverse portfolio of snacks and meal replacement solutions. The company's extensive product line encompasses protein bars, convenient ready-to-drink shakes…

Packaged Foods

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works