TSM

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited

Technology · $2.35T market cap

Verdict

Share price

$472.78

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$235.38

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$94.15

buy price

Overpriced

TSM is Overpriced: at $472.78 it trades 101% above its fair value of $235.38. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $94.15, 80% below today's price. Business quality is strong: 4 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Buffett Normalized. A profitable, growing business, so we project its earnings 10 years ahead and work out what that is worth today.

Business quality

4 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth16.2% a year✓
Equity per share growth13.9% a year✓
Sales growth13.3% a year✓
Free cash flow growth9.5% a year✗
Return on invested capital20.8%✓

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Superinvestors

23 of the investors we track hold TSM. In Q2 2026, 1 opened a position, 5 added, 9 trimmed and 1 sold out. Who we track

Chase Coleman

Tiger Global Management · as of Q2 2026

$2.3B

4,881,008 shares

First Eagle Investment Management

First Eagle Investment Management · as of Q2 2026

$1.8B

3,745,597 shares

Viking Global Investors

Viking Global Investors · as of Q2 2026

$1.5B

3,168,097 shares

David Tepper

Appaloosa Management · as of Q2 2026

$788.0M

1,650,000 shares

Dodge & Cox Funds

Dodge & Cox Funds · as of Q2 2026

$688.1M

1,440,767 shares

Show all 23 holders

Ruane Cunniff LP

Ruane Cunniff LP · as of Q2 2026

$560.1M

1,172,725 shares

Terry Smith

Fundsmith · as of Q2 2026

$548.5M

1,148,449 shares

Lee Ainslie

Maverick Capital · as of Q2 2026

$339.9M

711,757 shares

Sarah Ketterer

Causeway Capital Management · as of Q2 2026

$254.1M

532,052 shares

Polen Capital Management

Polen Capital Management · as of Q2 2026

$239.4M

501,210 shares

Mairs & Power Funds

Mairs & Power Funds · as of Q2 2026

$227.4M

476,245 shares

Daniel Loeb

Third Point · as of Q2 2026

$219.7M

460,000 shares

William Von Mueffling

Cantillon Capital Management · as of Q2 2026

$54.8M

114,820 shares

David Rolfe

Wedgewood Partners · as of Q2 2026

$50.4M

105,499 shares

Stephen Mandel

Lone Pine Capital · as of Q2 2026

$48.4M

101,242 shares

Prem Watsa

Fairfax Financial Holdings · as of Q2 2026

$44.7M

93,700 shares

Torray Funds

Torray Funds · as of Q2 2026

$12.6M

26,309 shares

Wallace Weitz

Weitz Investment Management · as of Q2 2026

$9.6M

20,000 shares

John Rogers

Ariel Investments · as of Q2 2026

$8.5M

17,838 shares

Jensen Investment Management

Jensen Investment Management · as of Q2 2026

$7.6M

15,884 shares

Hillman Capital Management

Hillman Capital Management · as of Q2 2026

$2.7M

5,608 shares

Richard Pzena

Pzena Investment Management · as of Q2 2026

$1.9M

4,054 shares

Francois Rochon

Giverny Capital · as of Q2 2026

$1.7M

3,655 shares

Insider activity

Since Jul 19, 2026: 78 open-market purchases worth $1.2M and 22 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Purchases

Chang Tzonz-Sheng

SVP · 2026-09-07

Bought

$4K

Chen Pei-Hung

VP · 2026-09-07

Bought

$4K

Chin Yung-Pei

EVP and Co-COO · 2026-09-07

Bought

$5K

Cao Min

VP · 2026-09-07

Bought

$4K

Chen Chih-Ho

Controller · 2026-09-07

Bought

$2K

Chuang Tzu-Sou

VP · 2026-09-07

Bought

$4K

He Jun

VP · 2026-09-07

Bought

$4K

Fang Shu-Hua

SVP and GC · 2026-09-07

Bought

$4K

Chuang Juiping

VP · 2026-09-07

Bought

$4K

Hou Yung-Chin

SVP and Deputy Co-COO · 2026-09-07

Bought

$5K

Ku Yao-Ching

VP · 2026-09-07

Bought

$4K

Huang Jen-Chau

SVP and CFO · 2026-09-07

Bought

$2K

Hsu Kuo-Chin

VP · 2026-09-07

Bought

$4K

Hwang Yuan-Ko

VP · 2026-09-07

Bought

$3K

Jang Syun-Ming

VP · 2026-09-07

Bought

$4K

Lu Lee-Chung

VP · 2026-09-07

Bought

$4K

Lee Chun-Hsien

SVP · 2026-09-07

Bought

$4K

Lin Shyue-Shyh

VP · 2026-09-07

Bought

$3K

Lin Chris Horng-Dar

VP and CIO · 2026-09-07

Bought

$4K

Lu Chin-Sheng

VP · 2026-09-07

Bought

$3K

Wang Ying-Lang

SVP · 2026-09-07

Bought

$4K

Tien Bor-Zen

VP · 2026-09-07

Bought

$381

Tien Bor-Zen

VP · 2026-09-07

Bought

$3K

Wei Che-Chia

Chairman and CEO · 2026-09-07

Bought

$11K

Wu Shien-Yang

SVP · 2026-09-07

Bought

$4K

Mii Yuh-Jier

EVP and Co-COO · 2026-09-07

Bought

$5K

Yuan Lipen

VP · 2026-09-07

Bought

$3K

Zhang Kevin Xiaoqiang

SVP and Deputy Co-COO · 2026-09-07

Bought

$5K

Yeap Choh Fei

SVP · 2026-09-07

Bought

$4K

Yoo Chue-San

VP · 2026-09-07

Bought

$4K

Wu Yi-Huang

VP · 2026-09-07

Bought

$3K

Yuan Lipen

VP · 2026-08-19

Bought

$74K

Yuan Lipen

VP · 2026-08-18

Bought

$75K

Yuan Lipen

VP · 2026-08-18

Bought

$26K

Chin Yung-Pei

EVP and Co-COO · 2026-08-07

Bought

$5K

Cao Min

VP · 2026-08-07

Bought

$4K

Chen Pei-Hung

VP · 2026-08-07

Bought

$3K

Chen Chih-Ho

Controller · 2026-08-07

Bought

$2K

Chang Tzonz-Sheng

SVP · 2026-08-07

Bought

$4K

Fang Shu-Hua

SVP and GC · 2026-08-07

Bought

$4K

Chuang Juiping

VP · 2026-08-07

Bought

$4K

Hou Yung-Chin

SVP and Deputy Co-COO · 2026-08-07

Bought

$5K

Chuang Tzu-Sou

VP · 2026-08-07

Bought

$3K

He Jun

VP · 2026-08-07

Bought

$3K

Ku Yao-Ching

VP · 2026-08-07

Bought

$3K

Hwang Yuan-Ko

VP · 2026-08-07

Bought

$3K

Huang Jen-Chau

SVP and CFO · 2026-08-07

Bought

$2K

Hsu Kuo-Chin

VP · 2026-08-07

Bought

$4K

Jang Syun-Ming

VP · 2026-08-07

Bought

$4K

Lu Chin-Sheng

VP · 2026-08-07

Bought

$3K

Lee Chun-Hsien

SVP · 2026-08-07

Bought

$4K

Lin Shyue-Shyh

VP · 2026-08-07

Bought

$3K

Lu Lee-Chung

VP · 2026-08-07

Bought

$4K

Lin Chris Horng-Dar

VP and CIO · 2026-08-07

Bought

$4K

Tien Bor-Zen

VP · 2026-08-07

Bought

$513

Tien Bor-Zen

VP · 2026-08-07

Bought

$3K

Wu Shien-Yang

SVP · 2026-08-07

Bought

$4K

Wei Che-Chia

Chairman and CEO · 2026-08-07

Bought

$11K

Wang Ying-Lang

SVP · 2026-08-07

Bought

$4K

Mii Yuh-Jier

EVP and Co-COO · 2026-08-07

Bought

$5K

Yoo Chue-San

VP · 2026-08-07

Bought

$4K

Wu Yi-Huang

VP · 2026-08-07

Bought

$3K

Yuan Lipen

VP · 2026-08-07

Bought

$3K

Zhang Kevin Xiaoqiang

SVP and Deputy Co-COO · 2026-08-07

Bought

$5K

Yeap Choh Fei

SVP · 2026-08-07

Bought

$4K

Tien Bor-Zen

VP · 2026-08-03

Bought

$73K

Tien Bor-Zen

VP · 2026-07-28

Bought

$4K

Tien Bor-Zen

VP · 2026-07-28

Bought

$2K

Tien Bor-Zen

VP · 2026-07-28

Bought

$68K

Lin Shyue-Shyh

VP · 2026-07-21

Bought

$74K

Tien Bor-Zen

VP · 2026-07-21

Bought

$74K

Tien Bor-Zen

VP · 2026-07-21

Bought

$74K

Tien Bor-Zen

VP · 2026-07-21

Bought

$75K

Tien Bor-Zen

VP · 2026-07-21

Bought

$74K

Lin Shyue-Shyh

VP · 2026-07-20

Bought

$73K

Tien Bor-Zen

VP · 2026-07-20

Bought

$4K

Lin Shyue-Shyh

VP · 2026-07-19

Bought

$72K

Lin Shyue-Shyh

VP · 2026-07-19

Bought

$71K

Other filings

About Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSMC), along with its affiliated entities, operates globally in the semiconductor industry, specializing in the manufacturing, packaging, meticulous testing, and worldwide distribution of integrated circuits and other crucial semiconductor components. Its expansive international presence covers key markets such as Taiwan, China, Europe, the Middle East, Africa…

Semiconductors

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works