TXRH

Texas Roadhouse, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · $10.3B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$156.14

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$107.41

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$42.96

buy price

Overpriced

TXRH is Overpriced: at $156.14 it trades 45% above its fair value of $107.41. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $42.96, 72% below today's price. Business quality is strong: 4 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Free Cash Flow. Sales grew 14% a year over the last 3 years, below the 15% we look for in a fast grower, so we value it on its free cash flow instead of an earnings forecast.

Business quality

4 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth14.4% a year✓
Equity per share growth8.4% a year✗
Sales growth12.1% a year✓
Free cash flow growth13.0% a year✓
Return on invested capital16.5%✓

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Superinvestors

1 of the investors we track holds TXRH. In Q2 2026, 1 trimmed. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

Trimmed: First Eagle Investment Management

Insider activity

Since Jul 2, 2026: no open-market purchases, 7 sales worth $4.3M and 7 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Sales

Other filings

About Texas Roadhouse, Inc.

Texas Roadhouse, Inc., through its various subsidiaries, is actively engaged in the casual dining sector, managing restaurants both within the United States and on a global scale. The company's portfolio encompasses establishments operating under its proprietary brands, which include Texas Roadhouse, Bubba's 33, and Jaggers, all of which it either directly runs or licenses to franchisees. By December 28, 2021, the…

Restaurants

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works