BROS

Dutch Bros Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · $6.6B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$38.67

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$22.01

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$8.81

buy price

Overpriced

BROS is Overpriced: at $38.67 it trades 76% above its fair value of $22.01. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $8.81, 77% below today's price. Business quality is strong: 4 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Buffett Normalized. A profitable, growing business, so we project its earnings 10 years ahead and work out what that is worth today.

Business quality

4 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth122.9% a year✓
Equity per share growth22.4% a year✓
Sales growth38.0% a year✓
Free cash flow growth19.3% a year✓
Return on invested capital3.4%✗

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Superinvestors

None of the investors we track holds BROS right now. In Q1 2026, 1 sold out. Who we track

Moves in Q1 2026

Sold out: Lee Ainslie

Insider activity

Since Jul 1, 2026: 1 open-market purchase worth $103K and 11 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Purchases

Other filings

About Dutch Bros Inc.

Dutch Bros Inc., in collaboration with its subsidiaries, operates and licenses drive-thru establishments throughout the United States. The company's business model is divided into two primary divisions: its directly owned and managed shops, and its franchising and other related ventures. Customers are served through the firm's corporate-operated locations and its online platforms, utilizing brand names like Dutch…

Restaurants

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works