UGP

Ultrapar Participações S.A.

Energy · $7.8B market cap

Share price

$7.45

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$2.71

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$1.08

buy price

Overpriced

UGP is Overpriced: at $7.45 it trades 175% above its fair value of $2.71. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $1.08, 85% below today's price. Business quality is limited: none of the 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Buffett Normalized. A profitable, growing business, so we project its earnings 10 years ahead and work out what that is worth today.

Business quality

0 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth8.3% a year✗

Equity per share growth7.7% a year✗

Sales growth8.3% a year✗

Free cash flow growth4.8% a year✗

Return on invested capital9.6%✗

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Insider activity

Since Jun 22, 2026: no open-market purchases, 2 sales worth $59K and 1 other filing (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Sales

Amaral Decio de Sampaio

CEO Hidrovias · 2026-09-01

Sold

$55K

Hachem Andre Saleme

CFO and IRO Hidrovias · 2026-08-18

Sold

$4K

Other filings

Linden Leonardo Remiao

CEO Ipiranga · 2026-06-22

Award

43,913 shares

About Ultrapar Participações S.A.

Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) is a Brazilian company with widespread operations in gas distribution, fuel supply, and logistics/storage. Its geographical reach extends across Brazil, Mexico, Uruguay, Venezuela, other Latin American nations, North America (US, Canada), the Far East, and Europe. Through its Gas Distribution division, the company delivers liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) to residential, commercial…

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing