DINO

HF Sinclair Corporation

Energy · $19.0B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$113.36

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$76.42

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$30.57

buy price

Overpriced

DINO is Overpriced: at $113.36 it trades 48% above its fair value of $76.42. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $30.57, 73% below today's price. Business quality is mixed: 2 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Buffett Normalized. A profitable, growing business, so we project its earnings 10 years ahead and work out what that is worth today.

Business quality

2 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth7.1% a year✗
Equity per share growth9.6% a year✗
Sales growth10.1% a year✓
Free cash flow growth10.6% a year✓
Return on invested capital6.1%✗

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Superinvestors

3 of the investors we track hold DINO. In Q2 2026, 1 added and 1 trimmed. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

Added: Tweedy Browne

Trimmed: Christopher Bloomstran

Insider activity

Since Jun 16, 2026: 2 open-market purchases worth $1.4M, 1 sale worth $756K and 4 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Purchases

Sales

Other filings

About HF Sinclair Corporation

HF Sinclair Corporation operates as a prominent independent energy enterprise, engaged in the production and commercialization of a diverse array of petroleum products. Its offerings include conventional fuels such as gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, alongside its growing renewable diesel segment. The company also specializes in unique lubricants, chemicals, and various types of asphalt. With a network of refineries…

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works