VST
Vistra Corp.Utilities · $50.9B market cap
Verdict
Share price
$140.02
close of Oct 3, 2026
Fair value
$102.02
Sticker Price
Payback Price
$40.81
buy price
VST is Overpriced: at $140.02 it trades 37% above its fair value of $102.02. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $40.81, 71% below today's price. Business quality is solid: 3 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.
How we valued it
Free Cash Flow. Sales grew -2% a year over the last 3 years, below the 15% we look for in a fast grower, so we value it on its free cash flow instead of an earnings forecast.
Business quality
3 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?
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3 of the investors we track hold VST. In Q2 2026, 1 opened a position, 1 added and 1 sold out. Who we track
Insider activity
Since Aug 31, 2026: 2 open-market purchases worth $903K and 4 sales worth $9.8M. Why purchases matter
Purchases
BURKE JAMES A
President and CEO · 2026-09-01
Bought
$604K
BURKE JAMES A
President and CEO · 2026-08-31
Bought
$299K
Sales
About Vistra Corp.
Vistra Corp., along with its various holdings, functions as a unified entity primarily engaged in retail electricity supply and power generation. The company organizes its operations across six distinct segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, Sunset, and Asset Closure. It directly provides electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial clients throughout 20 U.S. states and the District of…
Independent Power Producers
Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works