XOM

Exxon Mobil Corporation

Energy · $674.8B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$164.01

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$141.42

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$56.57

buy price

Overpriced

XOM is Overpriced: at $164.01 it trades 16% above its fair value of $141.42. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $56.57, 66% below today's price. Business quality is limited: none of the 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Dividend Discount Model. It has paid a dividend for 10+ years in a row, raised it most years, and yields over 2%. For a steady payer like this, the dividend is the best guide to value.

Business quality

0 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth-1.6% a year✗
Equity per share growth5.1% a year✗
Sales growth-2.0% a year✗
Free cash flow growth-0.1% a year✗
Return on invested capital7.9%✗

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Superinvestors

1 of the investors we track holds XOM. In Q2 2026, 1 opened a position. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

New position: Thomas Russo

About Exxon Mobil Corporation

Exxon Mobil Corporation is a global energy firm that undertakes the exploration and extraction of oil and natural gas resources across its domestic operations and international territories. The company organizes its vast activities into three primary divisions: Upstream, Downstream, and Chemical. Beyond resource acquisition, Exxon Mobil is deeply engaged in the manufacturing, commercial trading, logistical…

Oil & Gas Integrated

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works