AGO

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Financial Services · $3.1B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$68.47

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$54.67

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$21.87

buy price

Overpriced

AGO is Overpriced: at $68.47 it trades 25% above its fair value of $54.67. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $21.87, 68% below today's price. Business quality is limited: only 1 of 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Justified P/B (Financials). A bank or insurer. These are best valued on their book value and how much they earn on it.

Business quality

1 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth1.1% a year✗
Equity per share growth10.3% a year✓
Sales growth-2.2% a year✗
Free cash flow growth0.1% a year✗
Return on invested capital2.2%✗

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Superinvestors

1 of the investors we track holds AGO. In Q1 2026, 1 added. Who we track

Moves in Q1 2026

Added: Francis Chou

Insider activity

Since Jun 17, 2026: no open-market purchases and 4 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Other filings

About Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Assured Guaranty Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides credit protection products to public finance and structured finance markets in the United States and internationally. It operates through Insurance and Asset Management segments. The company offers financial guaranty insurance that protects holders of debt instruments and other monetary obligations from defaults in scheduled payments. It also provides…

Insurance - Specialty

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works

AGO stock (Assured Guaranty Ltd.): fair value $54.67, Overpriced — PaybackPrice