ALCO

Alico, Inc.

Consumer Defensive · $288M market cap

Verdict

Share price

$38.31

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$24.37

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$9.75

buy price

Overpriced

ALCO is Overpriced: at $38.31 it trades 57% above its fair value of $24.37. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $9.75, 75% below today's price. Business quality is limited: none of the 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Free Cash Flow. Sales grew -22% a year over the last 3 years, below the 15% we look for in a fast grower, so we value it on its free cash flow instead of an earnings forecast.

Business quality

0 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth3.1% a year✗
Equity per share growth4.8% a year✗
Sales growth-2.8% a year✗
Free cash flow growth7.5% a year✗
Return on invested capital-31.1%✗

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Insider activity

Since Jul 1, 2026: 1 open-market purchase worth $50K and 5 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Purchases

Other filings

About Alico, Inc.

Alico, Inc., along with its affiliated entities, functions as a prominent agribusiness and land management enterprise primarily within the United States. The company's operations are strategically divided into two core segments: Alico Citrus, and Land Management and Other Operations. The Alico Citrus division is dedicated to the cultivation of citrus trees, supplying fruit for both the fresh produce market and…

Agricultural Farm Products

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works