BRSL

Brightstar Lottery PLC

Consumer Cyclical · $1.8B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$9.85

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$44.97

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$17.99

buy price

On Sale

BRSL is On Sale: at $9.85 it trades 45% below its buy price (Payback Price) of $17.99 and 78% below its fair value of $44.97. Business quality is limited: only 1 of 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Buffett Normalized. A profitable, growing business, so we project its earnings 10 years ahead and work out what that is worth today.

Business quality

1 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth66.2% a year✓
Equity per share growth7.5% a year✗
Sales growth-4.2% a year✗
Free cash flow growth9.7% a year✗
Return on invested capital5.3%✗

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Insider activity

Since Jul 14, 2026: no open-market purchases and 12 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Other filings

About Brightstar Lottery PLC

Brightstar Lottery PLC provides lottery solutions in the United States, Italy, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company designs, sells, operates, and leases a suite of point-of-sale machines that reconciles lottery funds between the retailer and the lottery authority; operates and provides lottery transaction processing systems; produces instant ticket games; and offers printing services, such as instant…

Gambling, Resorts & Casinos

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works