MCRI

Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · $2.1B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$117.55

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$72.36

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$28.94

buy price

Overpriced

MCRI is Overpriced: at $117.55 it trades 62% above its fair value of $72.36. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $28.94, 75% below today's price. Business quality is strong: 4 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Free Cash Flow. Sales grew 4% a year over the last 3 years, below the 15% we look for in a fast grower, so we value it on its free cash flow instead of an earnings forecast.

Business quality

4 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth14.0% a year✓
Equity per share growth10.1% a year✓
Sales growth7.1% a year✗
Free cash flow growth13.5% a year✓
Return on invested capital15.8%✓

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Insider activity

Since Jun 30, 2026: no open-market purchases and 4 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Other filings

About Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.

Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. (MCRI) is a company that, through its various subsidiaries, owns and manages two prominent hotel and casino destinations: the Atlantis Casino Resort Spa in Reno, Nevada, and the Monarch Casino Resort Spa Black Hawk located in Black Hawk, Colorado. As of December 31, 2021, the Atlantis Casino Resort Spa presented a wide array of facilities. Its gaming area extended across approximately…

Gambling, Resorts & Casinos

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works

MCRI stock (Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.): fair value $72.36, Overpriced — PaybackPrice