COST

Costco Wholesale Corporation

Consumer Defensive · $397.6B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$920.65

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$396.33

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$158.53

buy price

Overpriced

COST is Overpriced: at $920.65 it trades 132% above its fair value of $396.33. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $158.53, 83% below today's price. Business quality is solid: 3 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Buffett Normalized. A profitable, growing business, so we project its earnings 10 years ahead and work out what that is worth today.

Business quality

3 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth12.5% a year✓
Equity per share growth6.2% a year✗
Sales growth8.5% a year✗
Free cash flow growth13.3% a year✓
Return on invested capital19.3%✓

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Superinvestors

7 of the investors we track hold COST. In Q2 2026, 1 trimmed. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

Trimmed: Thomas Russo

Insider activity

Since Jun 23, 2026: no open-market purchases, 1 sale worth $847K and 1 other filing (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Sales

Other filings

About Costco Wholesale Corporation

Costco Wholesale Corporation, alongside its group entities, operates membership-based retail warehouses across a broad international scope, spanning the United States, Puerto Rico, Canada, the United Kingdom, Mexico, Japan, South Korea, Australia, Spain, France, Iceland, China, and Taiwan. These outlets provide customers with an extensive array of both well-known branded and proprietary private-label products. Their…

Discount Stores

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works