WMT
Walmart Inc.Consumer Defensive · $865.3B market cap
Verdict
Share price
$104.26
close of Oct 3, 2026
Fair value
$74.22
Sticker Price
Payback Price
$29.69
buy price
WMT is Overpriced: at $104.26 it trades 40% above its fair value of $74.22. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $29.69, 72% below today's price. Business quality is limited: only 1 of 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.
How we valued it
Owner Earnings. Earnings grow slowly (under 7% a year), but cash flow is steady, so we value it on its cash flow instead of its earnings.
Business quality
1 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?
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6 of the investors we track hold WMT. In Q2 2026, 1 added and 1 trimmed. Who we track
Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation Trust
Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation Trust · as of Q2 2026
$950.3M
8,390,477 shares
Dodge & Cox Funds
Dodge & Cox Funds · as of Q2 2026
$19.5M
172,435 shares
Mairs & Power Funds
Mairs & Power Funds · as of Q2 2026
$1.8M
15,800 shares
Thomas Russo
Gardner Russo & Quinn · as of Q2 2026
$959K
8,465 shares
David Katz
Matrix Asset Advisors · as of Q2 2026
$361K
3,191 shares
Show all 6 holdersShow fewer
Bill Nygren
Oakmark Funds · as of Q2 2026
$335K
2,962 shares
Insider activity
Since Jun 15, 2026: no open-market purchases, 12 sales worth $543.5M and 26 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter
Sales
Bartlett Daniel J
Executive Vice President · 2026-09-01
Sold
$415K
Danker Daniel
Executive Vice President · 2026-08-26
Sold
$5.3M
Nicholas Christopher James
Executive Vice President · 2026-08-20
Sold
$308K
Bartlett Daniel J
Executive Vice President · 2026-08-03
Sold
$420K
Nicholas Christopher James
Executive Vice President · 2026-07-16
Sold
$144K
Show all 12 salesShow fewer
Nicholas Christopher James
Executive Vice President · 2026-07-16
Sold
$187K
Bartlett Daniel J
Executive Vice President · 2026-07-01
Sold
$414K
Nicholas Christopher James
Executive Vice President · 2026-06-18
Sold
$343K
Walton Family Holdings Trust
Owns 10%+ · 2026-06-16
Sold
$3.0M
Walton Family Holdings Trust
Owns 10%+ · 2026-06-16
Sold
$65.7M
Walton Family Holdings Trust
Owns 10%+ · 2026-06-16
Sold
$467.0M
Bartlett Daniel J
Executive Vice President · 2026-06-15
Sold
$166K
Other filings
Watkins Latriece
Executive Vice President · 2026-09-08
Tax withholding
$24K
Guggina David W
Executive Vice President · 2026-09-08
Tax withholding
$13K
Milum Dwayne M
SVP & Controller · 2026-09-08
Tax withholding
$13K
Dallaire Seth
Executive Vice President · 2026-09-08
Tax withholding
$41K
Danker Daniel
Executive Vice President · 2026-08-25
Tax withholding
$5.6M
Show all 26 other filingsShow fewer
Watkins Latriece
Executive Vice President · 2026-08-11
Tax withholding
$26K
Guggina David W
Executive Vice President · 2026-08-11
Tax withholding
$13K
Milum Dwayne M
SVP & Controller · 2026-08-11
Tax withholding
$14K
Dallaire Seth
Executive Vice President · 2026-08-11
Tax withholding
$44K
Dallaire Seth
Executive Vice President · 2026-07-14
Tax withholding
$44K
Milum Dwayne M
SVP & Controller · 2026-07-14
Tax withholding
$14K
Guggina David W
Executive Vice President · 2026-07-14
Tax withholding
$14K
Watkins Latriece
Executive Vice President · 2026-07-14
Tax withholding
$26K
MAYER MARISSA A
director · 2026-06-30
Award
$29K
Harris Carla A
director · 2026-06-30
Award
$18K
Conde Cesar
director · 2026-06-30
Award
$29K
Moritz Robert Edward Jr.
director · 2026-06-30
Award
$31K
Friar Sarah
director · 2026-06-30
Award
$35K
Mehrotra Shishir
director · 2026-06-30
Award
$29K
Walton Steuart L
director · 2026-06-30
Award
$35K
STEPHENSON RANDALL L
director · 2026-06-30
Award
$47K
Penner Gregory Boyd
director · 2026-06-30
Award
$57K
Walton Family Holdings Trust
Owns 10%+ · 2026-06-24
J-Other
1,703,000 shares
Walton Family Holdings Trust
Owns 10%+ · 2026-06-23
J-Other
767,000 shares
Watkins Latriece
Executive Vice President · 2026-06-16
Tax withholding
$443K
Walton Family Holdings Trust
Owns 10%+ · 2026-06-16
J-Other
886,000 shares
About Walmart Inc.
Walmart Inc., established in 1945 and based in Bentonville, Arkansas, operates as a global retail powerhouse, having officially adopted its current name in February 2018, formerly Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. The company's diverse operations, encompassing retail, wholesale, and e-commerce, are managed across three primary divisions: Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam's Club. Its extensive physical presence…
Discount Stores
Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works