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CXW

CoreCivic, Inc.

Industrials · $3.2B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$33.43

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$26.03

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$10.41

buy price

Overpriced

CXW is Overpriced: at $33.43 it trades 28% above its fair value of $26.03. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $10.41, 69% below today's price. Business quality is limited: none of the 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Owner Earnings. Earnings have been shrinking, but the business still generates cash, so we value it on its cash flow instead of its earnings.

Business quality

0 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth-0.6% a year✗
Equity per share growth0.4% a year✗
Sales growth1.5% a year✗
Free cash flow growth-0.6% a year✗
Return on invested capital6.1%✗

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Insider activity

Since Sep 11, 2026: no open-market purchases and 1 sale worth $697K. Why purchases matter

Sales

Swenson Daren

EVP, Chief Corr & Reentry Ofcr · 2026-09-11

Sold

$697K

About CoreCivic, Inc.

CoreCivic, Inc. specializes in the ownership and management of a diverse portfolio of correctional institutions, detention centers, and residential reentry facilities throughout the United States. Its operations are organized into three distinct divisions: CoreCivic Safety, CoreCivic Community, and CoreCivic Properties. The company offers a comprehensive suite of services to its government partners, encompassing the…

Security & Protection Services

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works