VLO

Valero Energy Corporation

Energy · $112.2B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$406.30

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$101.55

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$40.62

buy price

Overpriced

VLO is Overpriced: at $406.30 it trades 300% above its fair value of $101.55. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $40.62, 90% below today's price. Business quality is limited: only 1 of 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Buffett Normalized. A profitable, growing business, so we project its earnings 10 years ahead and work out what that is worth today.

Business quality

1 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth1.0% a year✗
Equity per share growth6.1% a year✗
Sales growth1.7% a year✗
Free cash flow growth6.6% a year✗
Return on invested capital11.0%✓

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Superinvestors

1 of the investors we track holds VLO. In Q2 2026, 1 trimmed. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

Trimmed: Christopher Bloomstran

Insider activity

Since Jun 18, 2026: no open-market purchases, 2 sales worth $3.8M and 1 other filing (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Sales

Other filings

About Valero Energy Corporation

Valero Energy Corporation functions as a global producer and marketer of transportation fuels and petrochemicals, with operations spanning the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, and other international territories. The company organizes its business across three primary divisions: Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol. Its Refining segment generates a wide array of products, including various…

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works