MGY
Magnolia Oil & Gas CorporationEnergy · $5.7B market cap
Verdict
Share price
$24.07
close of Oct 3, 2026
Fair value
$11.29
Sticker Price
Payback Price
$4.52
buy price
MGY is Overpriced: at $24.07 it trades 113% above its fair value of $11.29. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $4.52, 81% below today's price. Business quality is strong: 4 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.
How we valued it
Free Cash Flow. Sales grew -8% a year over the last 3 years, below the 15% we look for in a fast grower, so we value it on its free cash flow instead of an earnings forecast.
Business quality
4 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?
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1 of the investors we track holds MGY. Who we track
Insider activity
Since Aug 7, 2026: 3 open-market purchases worth $325K and 1 other filing (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter
Purchases
Khani David M.
director · 2026-09-01
Bought
$1K
Khani David M.
director · 2026-08-07
Bought
$200K
Ropp Ralph Lewis
director · 2026-08-07
Bought
$123K
Other filings
About Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation is an energy company engaged in the full lifecycle of hydrocarbon resource management: acquisition, development, exploration, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs) within the United States. Its operational focus is primarily situated in South Texas, specifically within Karnes County and the Giddings Field, where its assets primarily tap into the rich…
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works