MTDR

Matador Resources Company

Energy · $6.4B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$53.50

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$36.29

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$14.52

buy price

Overpriced

MTDR is Overpriced: at $53.50 it trades 47% above its fair value of $36.29. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $14.52, 73% below today's price. Business quality is strong: 4 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Free Cash Flow. Sales grew 6% a year over the last 3 years, below the 15% we look for in a fast grower, so we value it on its free cash flow instead of an earnings forecast.

Business quality

4 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth25.2% a year✓
Equity per share growth18.3% a year✓
Sales growth27.2% a year✓
Free cash flow growth-12.4% a year✗
Return on invested capital11.5%✓

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Superinvestors

2 of the investors we track hold MTDR. In Q2 2026, 1 opened a position and 1 added. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

New position: First Eagle Investment Management

Added: Tweedy Browne

Insider activity

Since Jun 11, 2026: 9 open-market purchases worth $1.2M and 10 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Purchases

Other filings

About Matador Resources Company

Matador Resources Company operates as an independent energy firm, primarily engaged in the identification, development, extraction, and acquisition of crude oil and natural gas reserves throughout the United States. Its business operations are structured into two distinct divisions: Exploration and Production, and Midstream. The company's key asset holdings are concentrated in the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring formations…

Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works