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MUR

Murphy Oil Corporation

Energy · $5.3B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$37.66

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$24.41

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$9.76

buy price

Overpriced

MUR is Overpriced: at $37.66 it trades 54% above its fair value of $24.41. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $9.76, 74% below today's price. Business quality is limited: none of the 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Free Cash Flow. Sales grew -14% a year over the last 3 years, below the 15% we look for in a fast grower, so we value it on its free cash flow instead of an earnings forecast.

Business quality

0 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth-4.1% a year✗
Equity per share growth0.2% a year✗
Sales growth-12.5% a year✗
Free cash flow growth-1.4% a year✗
Return on invested capital6.0%✗

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Superinvestors

1 of the investors we track holds MUR. In Q2 2026, 1 added and 1 sold out. Who we track

First Eagle Investment Management

First Eagle Investment Management · as of Q2 2026

$16.2M

497,400 shares

Moves in Q2 2026

Added: First Eagle Investment Management

Sold out: Mairs & Power Funds

About Murphy Oil Corporation

Murphy Oil Corporation, along with its affiliated entities, functions as a company primarily focused on discovering and extracting crude oil and natural gas. Its operational footprint spans across the United States, Canada, and various international locations, where it actively produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. The firm, which was initially named Murphy Corporation, adopted its current…

Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works