PAG

Penske Automotive Group, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · $13.3B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$204.03

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$77.17

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$30.87

buy price

Overpriced

PAG is Overpriced: at $204.03 it trades 164% above its fair value of $77.17. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $30.87, 85% below today's price. Business quality is solid: 3 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Free Cash Flow. Sales grew 5% a year over the last 3 years, below the 15% we look for in a fast grower, so we value it on its free cash flow instead of an earnings forecast.

Business quality

3 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth15.4% a year✓
Equity per share growth14.1% a year✓
Sales growth6.4% a year✗
Free cash flow growth11.8% a year✓
Return on invested capital6.8%✗

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Insider activity

Since Sep 1, 2026: no open-market purchases and 6 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Other filings

About Penske Automotive Group, Inc.

Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG) is a comprehensive transportation services enterprise, primarily involved in running automotive and commercial truck dealerships. Its business activities are organized into four main segments: Retail Automotive, Retail Commercial Truck, Other, and Non-Automotive Investments. The company operates a network of automotive dealerships under franchise agreements with various vehicle…

Auto - Dealerships

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works