MGPI

MGP Ingredients, Inc.

Consumer Defensive · $323M market cap

Verdict

Share price

$12.79

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$25.63

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$10.25

buy price

Undervalued

MGPI is Undervalued: at $12.79 it trades 50% below its fair value of $25.63. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $10.25, 20% below today's price. Business quality is solid: 3 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Free Cash Flow. Sales grew -12% a year over the last 3 years, below the 15% we look for in a fast grower, so we value it on its free cash flow instead of an earnings forecast.

Business quality

3 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth12.0% a year✓
Equity per share growth13.5% a year✓
Sales growth4.7% a year✗
Free cash flow growth10.6% a year✓
Return on invested capital0.8%✗

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Superinvestors

2 of the investors we track hold MGPI. In Q2 2026, 1 trimmed. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

Trimmed: Howard Marks

Insider activity

Since Jul 2, 2026: no open-market purchases, 1 sale worth $586K and 2 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Sales

Other filings

About MGP Ingredients, Inc.

MGP Ingredients, Inc., founded in 1941 and headquartered in Atchison, Kansas, operates as a prominent manufacturer and supplier across three main business areas: distilled spirits, branded alcoholic beverages, and specialized food ingredients. The company's operations are structured around three core divisions: 1. Distillery Products: This segment is responsible for producing food-grade alcohol, which serves both…

Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works

MGPI stock (MGP Ingredients, Inc.): fair value $25.63, Undervalued — PaybackPrice