PSX

Phillips 66

Energy · $101.1B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$264.58

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$98.78

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$39.51

buy price

Overpriced

PSX is Overpriced: at $264.58 it trades 168% above its fair value of $98.78. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $39.51, 85% below today's price. Business quality is limited: none of the 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Owner Earnings. Earnings grow slowly (under 7% a year), but cash flow is steady, so we value it on its cash flow instead of its earnings.

Business quality

0 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth3.2% a year✗
Equity per share growth5.7% a year✗
Sales growth-0.8% a year✗
Free cash flow growth3.2% a year✗
Return on invested capital6.1%✗

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Superinvestors

6 of the investors we track hold PSX. In Q2 2026, 2 trimmed. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

Trimmed: Torray Funds, Bill Nygren

Insider activity

Since Jul 9, 2026: no open-market purchases, 14 sales worth $7.5B and 9 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Sales

Other filings

About Phillips 66

Phillips 66 operates as a diversified energy company, specializing in both manufacturing and logistics. Its comprehensive business model is structured across four primary segments: Midstream, Chemicals, Refining, and Marketing & Specialties (M&S). The Midstream division manages the vital infrastructure for transporting and processing various energy commodities. This includes moving crude oil and other feedstocks…

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works

PSX stock (Phillips 66): fair value $98.78, Overpriced — PaybackPrice