TSCO
Tractor Supply CompanyConsumer Cyclical · $16.7B market cap
Verdict
Share price
$31.09
close of Oct 3, 2026
Fair value
$20.66
Sticker Price
Payback Price
$8.27
buy price
TSCO is Overpriced: at $31.09 it trades 50% above its fair value of $20.66. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $8.27, 73% below today's price. Business quality is strong: 4 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.
How we valued it
Free Cash Flow. Sales grew 3% a year over the last 3 years, below the 15% we look for in a fast grower, so we value it on its free cash flow instead of an earnings forecast.
Business quality
4 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?
Follow TSCO
Get notified when it reaches its buy price of $8.27. Free.
Create a free accountSuperinvestors
1 of the investors we track holds TSCO. In Q2 2026, 1 sold out. Who we track
Moves in Q2 2026
Sold out: David Rolfe
Insider activity
Since Jun 8, 2026: 4 open-market purchases worth $652K and 12 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter
Purchases
Lawton III Harry A
President & CEO · 2026-08-04
Bought
$85K
Lawton III Harry A
President & CEO · 2026-08-04
Bought
$417K
MORRIS EDNA
director · 2026-08-04
Bought
$51K
Hawaux Andre J
director · 2026-08-03
Bought
$100K
Other filings
Ham Margaret M
director · 2026-09-04
L-Small
$3K
Ledbetter Samuel Craig
SVP Chief Supply Chain Officer · 2026-08-08
Tax withholding
$936
Estep Jonathan S
EVP Chief Merchandise Officer · 2026-08-06
Award
$102K
Estep Jonathan S
EVP Chief Merchandise Officer · 2026-08-06
Award
794 shares
Ordus John P
EVP Chief Stores Officer · 2026-08-06
Award
$205K
Show all 12 other filingsShow fewer
Ordus John P
EVP Chief Stores Officer · 2026-08-06
Award
1,588 shares
DAHL AMY E
SVP General Counsel · 2026-08-05
Award
13,626 shares
Ledbetter Samuel Craig
SVP Chief Supply Chain Officer · 2026-08-05
Award
2,404 shares
Ledbetter Samuel Craig
SVP Chief Supply Chain Officer · 2026-08-05
Award
$305K
Ham Margaret M
director · 2026-07-01
Award
415.217 shares
Krishnan Ramkumar
director · 2026-07-01
Award
830.433 shares
Ham Margaret M
director · 2026-06-08
L-Small
$3K
About Tractor Supply Company
Tractor Supply Company functions as a prominent retailer, catering to the rural lifestyle demographic throughout the United States. Its extensive product catalog encompasses items crucial for the health, well-being, development, and enclosure of equine, livestock, pets, and small animals. Additionally, it stocks a variety of hardware, truck, towing, and tool supplies. Shoppers can also find seasonal goods like…
Specialty Retail
Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works